This Week@Work Pavlo visit an old warship to bring to life an analogy that building a business is like sailing a ship.
Both a ship and a business need: A destination, a crew that operates clear systems, and a Captain, whose time is either spent in the engine room or up on the bridge.
First, I’m assuming that you want to grow. If not, you will lose what you have. Look at it this way:
If you have a business with revenues of 20,000,000 and profits of 2,000,000, a starting valuation of your company would be around 10,000,000. Yes, a 5 multiple of EBITDA (and that’s generous in todays economy). With inflation running around 10%, not growing your company will see its value depreciate to 9,000,000.
To maintain its value, you need to grow it at inflation plus economic GDP growth plus industry growth rate plus currency depreciation. It rounds up to about 15%. To grow it, add a few percent (depending on your ambition) and you’d need to close out 2023 with revenues between 23m-25m if you maintained the same profit margin.
To set yourself up for this outcome, here are 5 questions you’d need to answer to set yourself up for growth in 2023.
1. What is your destination? – 2 years from now, what does your company look like? If you don’t have a destination, much like a ship at sea, you will run out of food, water and fuel. A destination is a measured, specific outcome. Last week we spoke about building a business backwards, starting at a destination 5-15 years from today and seeing what needs to be done tomorrow to get there.
2. What business are you in? – lead with the need. It changes every time there are changes, and both parts need to change, commodity and commerce. Customer behavior is changing rapidly as the business environment changes. The way consumers are behaving today is very different to the way they did 2,4,6 years ago. Between then and now, trade friction and political uncertainty arrived, covid smacked us all in the face, a war broke out causing energy to spike, inflation and interest rates have subdued everyone and on it goes. The ructions and shifts in our world are unlikely to stop and return to a predictable calm normality. Understand your business not in terms of products, but problems and experiences that are constantly changing with the changes in the environment. , You need to constantly be responding.
3. What can we stop doing? – Simplify. A piece of research was done, around 2007 on multitasking. It showed an intellectual attention drop of 38% when you multitasked. Sure, you can get a job done but the noise, diminished attention and incompleteness of it often requires rework or revision to optimise the outcome. Simplicity is essential to scale, concentrate attention, accelerate learning cycles (per the point above) and give you a return on time. Dabbling will compromise you every time.
4. How can we increase dependability? This means both reliability and consistency. Understanding what business you are in offers you the blueprint of how to engineer and design your business to deliver dependable outcomes in marketing, sales, fulfilment, and administration. Don’t be led by urgent matters, be driven by important ones.
5. What is the shared team vision? Go with your team, not alone, including them in the 10-year, 2-year, 6-month, and monthly goals. An engaged, motivated team that is accountable and self-led. This is especially important in a world where skills are in short supply.
Pavlo reflects on a business owner who had worked with Aurik and recently sold his company for 120 million. When Pavlo mentioned this purchase to another business owner, the response was: “He must be really lucky to land such a deal.”
Luck does count – where you are located matters, timing can matter but largely, it has very little to do with luck. For a business to have a high valuation in the sale, the business needs to be built backwards, starting with the end in mind and designing it towards the end goal.
This business was built eight years ago with the intention to sell it in the long run. When asked how much he would sell the business for, the owner said 100 million, and he was adamant on that number. To reward his years of investment, risk, and sacrifice, this was set as the target.
The plan to act for tomorrow had to work backwards from that future date. He and Pavlo ran a few numbers. What they calculated is that five years forward he would need to have a revenue of 85 million, profitability running at least 15% to be able to argue and justify a multiple of around eight. If you take the initial 85 million, multiply it by 15%, and multiply it by eight, you’ll get something like the 100 million target.
On average, most businesses are lucky to earn three or four multiples. But the reason for that is that when most people sell their businesses, they arrive at that point at the 11th hour after 10, 20 or even 30 years of successfully generating income. They learn that what they have built is a business that’s good at generating income but not a business that is transferable as an asset to the future buyer or acquirer. As a result, they are heavily penalised for the multiple.
The multiple is an indicator that effectively answers five questions.
In this podcast of The Money Show, Pavlo Phitidis breaks down the process of building a business backwards, and asks the 5 key questions:
To illustrate the point, let’s use an example of a furniture business:
There are 10,000 furniture businesses out there, and the buyer needs to see that you’ve distinguished yourself, and your brand positioning within the furniture industry is good. Your brand needs to be recognized and appreciated by your customers. That’s the one factor that would take you to approximately a three or four multiple.
The second question is, “How does the whole thing work?” What business systems have been put in place? If you have translated all your commercial activities into business systems, then effectively you’ve got a playbook as to how the business works, and that takes the multiple up to four or five.
The third thing they will ask is:, “If you exit and are not there, who’s going to make it happen?” You need to show that you’ve got a team that’s engaged, that’s motivated, that has been there for some time, that sees a future, especially with the new acquirer, and if you can show this, you have an additional multiple.
Next question: “Will there be growth in the future?” If the business is to grow at a higher rate than you’ve grown the business in the last two or three years; the acquirer shouldn’t be paying for that. You need to have shown growth prior to exiting.
And then the last, and often toughest, question is: “Without you there, what happens to your suppliers? What happens to your team? What happens to your customers?” What is your influence in holding it all together and ensuring that the asset that is being bought from you today will perform the same tomorrow once you’ve left?
If you address each of those five levers, you’re taking a three multiple to an eight multiple. You’re adding an additional point in each instance.
And that’s what we mean by an engineered approach, which requires you to start with the endgame, saying, “I want 100 million for my business.” and then design the business to deliver that eight multiple.
Why acquisitions fail to yield value:
A Harvard study from 2016 estimated that 82% of acquisitions made, failed to yield value for the buyer. Very often, these acquisitions are made by listed companies, where there’s quite a bit of pressure to demonstrate how your investments are yielding shareholder value. They identified all of the major reasons why these acquisitions fail.
The first is a misalignment of customers. You acquire a business, you believe you might be deepening your ability to reach a new market that’s similar to the one you already serve. But often, there is a misalignment.
Secondly there are massive issues integrating the team in the client business with your existing team. In other words, getting a cultural match.
The third reason is that the functions of how the business runs and operates are profoundly different from the way your business runs and operates.
And the final reason is that once the owner is no longer there, the culture, values, and numerous other elements that held everything together simply disassemble, fragment, and fall away.
Understand that when you are ready to leave a business, you need to serve and understand the needs of a new customer: The Buyer.
The problem is that most of us arrive at this point with three, four, five, or six months left because we want to get out at that point. We make the decision to get out, and yet we have never built the business in such a fashion that it fits neatly with what the buyer wants.
Start with the end in mind and build it backwards.
A commodity is something that is freely accessible, commonly available and wherever you look someone has something similar to it.
One example is auto insurance – there is basically no difference, because underwriters and actuaries all use more-or-less the same data to determine the price or value of the insurance policy.
Another is hot cross buns – the features and benefits are similar and available from 50 to 200 to 20 000 providers.
In the United Kingdom, where the stats are really good, there are 15,277 printers servicing this tiny island, and most of them are still in existence even though the market is flooded.
The question we should be asking is how do those companies survive, and what do they need to do to set themselves apart from each other? Because that’s where the art of selling and differentiating what you do in a commoditized world becomes the art of business growth.
In this podcast of the Money Show Pavlo Phitidis breaks down the commoditised environment.
Consider one of the most basic commodities available… a bar of soap. There are hundreds of thousands of variants.
Pavlo recollects on a business owner who started a soap manufacture business 15 years ago – much to Pavlo’s horror as soap is soap is soap!
This business owner entered the hotel amenity business, where a single major corporation dominated as most hotel chains wanted the cheapest of the cheapest while still maintaining quality. Amenities and soaps were things that nobody wanted to pay attention to. In a highly commoditized market such as this, he had no choice but to think outside the box, so to set himself apart, he set about understanding the brand of the hotel.
He did a deep analysis and discovered that there were approximately 3200 activities that contributed to the guest experience. It’s an incredibly complicated activity, and much of it is outside of that hotel’s control, from the arrival, travel to the hotel and activities as well as the departure.
He nailed the essence of what would appeal to tourists going through that hotel. And he began to craft a collection of amenities that were designed to specifically encourage guests to be taken home after their stay, through their packaging, their fragrances, and the feel of the amenities being used in the showers and bathrooms. The baobab scented shampoo that reminded them of their safari or the amarula bodywash to hint at sundowners in the bush.
He had conducted genuine and in-depth study to demonstrate how the senses reproduced experiences, which was what made what he did and was what made the selling propositions he had devised for the hotels so ingenious.
He created an experience to set his product apart, beyond the commoditised features and benefits.
And he was able to persuade one of the main worldwide companies that if the guest had a pleasant stay, he or she should be able to experience the physical sense and scent of the product that he supplied. When the tourist returns home, they will remember the experience, and they will remember the vacation they had at that particular hotel group and wish to remain with the same hotel group the next time they visit another destination.
” And that’s the art of differentiating in a commoditized world. You’ve got to go the extra mile to create an experience that sets you apart, as opposed to the features and criteria of your product”.
Watch to gain insights into the 4 types of growth that need to be put in place to build and lock the value in your business, and a suggestion on what to do beyond that, to secure your legacy.
This is a cautionary tale about where to focus when times get tough. It’s a story of a business owner who had built a phenomenally successful business, and even had a £9.8M offer on the table 4 years ago! Now, this business has shrunk in clients, revenue, staff, and has virtually no value for a buyer today.
“Build a better mousetrap, and the world will beat a path to your door,” said Ralph Waldo Emerson.
It was true when quipped around 1770. There were few products, and if you made something reasonable, customers did exactly that!
Today, every product or service is a commodity. There are thousands of providers and hundreds of thousands globally.
Now, the adage should be: “If you have a mousetrap, you need to beat a path to your customer’s door.”
So, what are your options?
There are three strategies that you need to have in play: fishing, hunting, and farming. You need to do them all if you wish to maintain your market share and grow.
In this podcast of the Money Show Pavlo Phitidis unpacks, “FISHING, FARMING & HUNTING” in a business context.
Fishing
There are two primary fishing strategies used in industry today.
Net trawling: You pull a huge net behind a boat out in the open sea. It is indiscriminate and random enough that it catches anything and everything in its path.
Lure trolling: The species of fish you want to catch determines where you go trolling and what lures you use.
In your business, you should use both strategies. Your content is oriented around your company’s successes, failures, thoughts, and views on the industry’s future.
Your net trawling would be your social media posts that talk about achievements, successes, and failures that you have gained. They are unpaid and might be seen by anyone and everyone, depending on the content and virality of the post. Their purpose should be to create awareness of your company and build brand and familiarity.
Your lure trolling is more targeted. For example, if you offer products aimed at solving problems in the restaurant industry, you could post your marketing content into a restaurant owners’ group on the social platform you can access. It is more targeted but still a hit-and-miss affair. The purpose is to create awareness and build familiarity.
Hunting
Sticking to the fishing analogy, hunting is the equivalent of spearfishing. This is a very physical activity and requires you to dive under the water and actively seek out the fish you want to catch.
In your business, you actively go right to the source of your target, your customer. It means you need to know who buys your product, why they buy it, and where and when they buy it.
Farming
Again, using the fishing analogy, farming is where you identify a group of fish, hold them in a dam or lake, and feed them to fatten them up until they are ready.
In your business, this is the process of nurturing the customers you have engaged with, building relationships, creating familiarity, deepening education, and maturing them to the point where they are ready to transact and do a deal.
The three strategies work together to find, win, and hold customers—the essence of any business.
Turning this analogy into a system of marketing and sales is our job as business owners.
Led by your customer’s buying journey, which entails three broad stages: Awareness, Consideration, and Decision, you will use marketing (net fishing and farming), business development (lure fishing and farming), and sales (hunting).
The job of marketing is to:
Reach stakeholders in your company’s success: future customers, suppliers, and employees
Define you’re positioning in terms of the segments of customers you want to reach
Elicited intrigue, curiosity, and interest from a broad audience but focused on the leads that fit your business
The measure of success is a lead that is familiar with your brand.
The job of business development is to:
Generate a lead and build a relationship
Elicit needs and wants and educate the lead, which will encourage them to engage further by closing the gap between the lead’s problem and your product as a solution.
Raise and resolve objections
The measure of success is a customer, educated and informed, who wants to buy.
The job of sales is to:
Receive a lead and close the deal
Close the gap between the customer’s problem and your product as a solution.
Manage and resolve objections
The measure of success is a transaction and payment.
All three play into and across each other as a system of finding, winning, and holding customers. It is what sets the winners apart.
Pavlo recently spoke with a well-established but frustrated business owner; this particular business owner is an engineer whose company is not growing as quickly as it could.
He has traction and a reputation after 28 years, but he can’t grow beyond an 11% growth rate. Every time he steps on the accelerator to expand, he takes one stride forward and two steps back.
Engineers are generally careful, as seen by the way their factories and manufacturing lines are constructed. For them, seeing what you’re doing makes it simpler to perceive progress, and when you can see something, you can delegate it much more easily because you can point to it.
Managing the commercial systems it is the tricky piece because how do you see marketing? How do you see sales? How do you see operations? How do you see administration? It’s there that everything was stumbling.
Think about what the commercial system is and consider the commercial elements of the business: Marketing and sales and operations and administration and managing people and managing money. All of them interplay with each other. They are all linked together no differently to the way your production process plays out.
As you run through the production process, the shape and value of the product you create, evolves. The same applies as you proceed from one business system to the next.
It operates in a methodical manner, with the first individual beginning with marketing and the second individual securing sales. The next step is operations, followed by administration, and we began mapping out this process since an engineer would enjoy it.
The business owner got this right and STILL was stuck at 11% growth – so what was the problem? People! He experienced that people disrupt the systems. Considering this, how do you get this issue of delegation right?
In this podcast of the Money Show Pavlo picks up on how to delegate right.
When you’ve been working for yourself independently, it’s easy to keep track of things. You don’t have to have meetings, and you don’t have to worry about other people’s lives and issues. You do it all yourself, and you end up burning the midnight oil. You’re working 16 to 18-hour days, ensuring that you’re up to speed with everything, but eventually you can’t do that anymore. You need other people to come in.
Pavlo runs a small exercise with business owners who are struggling with this: This exercise depicts the typical amount of time spent by a company owner thinking about his business.
He sleeps around 8 hours per night and he’s awake for 16 hours. Some calculations tally that he has spent around 160,000 hours thinking about his business over the last 28 years. With all that contemplation, he’s ultimately got into deep, deep realms of complexity, which finally lead to a point when things begin to become simple.
With that in mind, the business owner is going to try to assign certain work to a manager in his company.
This business owner has five managers who are all well-established. They’ve each been there for an average of 11 years. So, we carried out a comparable calculation. 11 years… 250 odd working days at 8 hours a day. They are managers, and when they go home for the weekend, they are not thinking about the business. They’ve been pondering for an average of 20,000 hours.
You have 160,000 hours in the business owner’s mind and a total of 20,000 hours in the managers minds. Delegation becomes a tremendous challenge right away because you’re truly thinking and seeing things so differently based on how your team perceives and thinks about things. It starts there and only becomes a problem if the context isn’t set correctly and there’s no alignment in understanding what and how is being delegated.
The most common error that founders, owners, and CEOs make is assuming that the individuals to whom they delegate know what they’re doing and care as much as they do.
To overcome this gap, you have to delegate a complete, holistic SYSTEM, not just an outcome, and you need to revisit the whole system from time to time to ensure it is intact and functioning slickly.
Delegation doesn’t begin or end with an instruction. It’s an ongoing relationship with your team.
In a recent conversation with a global business broker, we debated why 94.6% of companies started failing to sell. This is despite them having survived the early years, grown into sizable mid-market businesses and provided nicely for their founders.
He shared a dreadful reality with me that he referred to as the 6 D’s. Most of his clients looking to sell their companies come to him because of the 6D’s.
Death – the death of the owner or a significant partner in the business
Disease –contracting a disease that prevents the owner or business partner from being able to work
Divorce – a divorce that leads to the company having to be sold
Debt – debt that the sale of the company can only settle
Disenchantment – essentially, when every day becomes and feels like a slog and a grind in which you lose your passion.
Disability – a disability from an accident or some other event that prevents the owner from running the company
Pavlo Phitidis breaks down the 6 D’s for business owners in this Money Show podcast
The antidote to these unfortunate drivers of business sale is the 7th D – Design.
Designing your wealth creation path as a business owner is seldom done, and nobody wants to face their fate. There are four simple steps that a business owner must follow on this path to have success based on their end goal.
Start with the end in mind – recognise that the ultimate destination is the sale of your business. Businesses are not bought. They need to be built to be sold.
Set a plan and a path – of the 10,000 companies we surveyed, most that wanted to grow had no growth plan. Only 14.9% of the owners spent an hour or so chatting about growth at a monthly management meeting. Growth is not “hope or luck”. It is architected and constructed!
Measure up your path so you can track and trace it – deliberately managing growth is your real job as a business owner. By far, most business owners are consumed by daily, weekly, and monthly operational activities; they have no time to lead and drive growth.
Time runs out for us all. Starting with the end in mind and building your business into an Asset of Value™ from the get-go is the best insurance plan you can hope to have as a business owner.
This week I met a business owner who arguably has one of the best food ordering, payment, and delivery platforms I’m yet to come across. It is a marvelous piece of engineering and centers its value on empowering the restauranter to interpret customer behavior into innovations on service, menus, value, and therefore business growth. Brilliant…. but nobody knows about it.
With a bunch of clients onboard, it makes good money for the founders. This compounds the problem.
If you have a product or service that is well-designed, reliable and offers great value to your customers, how much market share should you own 10 years, 20 years, or 30 years into the game?
Surely, if your offering is that good, you should be dominating segments in your industry. Industries are not small. There are macro-economic reports on the value of industries across all countries freely available on the internet. Find one relevant to you and calculate your market share. If, after 20 years in the game, you believe that you have the best product out there, surely you should have…10% or even 20% of the industry market value?
If you do, well done. If you don’t, what then is the missing ingredient?
Listen to this week’s podcast from The Money Show where Pavlo Phitidis compares a business to a winning F1 team to explain the missing link!
To win the F1 championship, you need three elements.
A winning driver – a racing driver is quintessentially competitive and invested deeply into improving their skills, capabilities, and performance
An efficiently designed car – at high speed, every element of drag and resistance created by the airflow over the body of the car needs to be designed to work for you or eliminated
A reliable, high-performance engine and chassis – to run at a high pace for 70 or more laps, the engine must be responsive and controllable
It’s a great analogy for high-performing businesses.
Every successful business has three primary elements of excellence, interlinked and dependent on each other.
The first is the business owner’s mindset. If it’s not a growth mindset, you may well be happy with the status quo. That is not a winning mindset. If your business is doing well and you are making good money in the status quo, you could be doing much better. Doing much better means growing more . Increasing growth by taking more market share pits you against competitors. That fight to grow ignites your potential and competence. A growth mindset is more than just wanting business growth. It means that you will stretch the bounds of your knowledge and capability to fight harder, be smarter, and win. It grows you and your competence as much as success grows your business.
The next is the product or service that makes up your offering to the market. It needs to be well-built, offer reliability and quality, and value. It needs to solve problems for the customers who buy it for nobody spends money on anything that does not solve a problem.
Finally, is the wrapping. This is made up of the commercial “gears” that interlink to drive and accelerate the offering to market. Made up of marketing, sales, fulfillment, administration, and the other commercial functions that every business needs to exit, live, breathe, and win. The reality for most business owners who create, make and build things (and that’s almost all of us), is that this wrapping is the most frustrating piece to put in place. It really is far more interesting adding a new feature to the product than having to organize your team and design, build and implement the commercial system set.
If you have the best product in the world, and if you aren’t dominating segments of the market in your industry, then it’s the commercial system set or gears that aren’t in play and optimized. If you have them in play and growth generates chaos, then they aren’t optimized and interlinked effectively. No tinkering with the features of your service or product design improvements will fix that and without it, your brilliant product will remain the world’s best-kept secret.